Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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State Rank #6
New Haven Semi-State Rank #2
West Noble Regional Rank #1
Northrop Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 5th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 53.2%
Top 10 at State Finals 97.8%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
26  Madison Fruchey 11 18:51
31  Stacey Metzger 12 18:58
49  Megan Doty 12 19:15
60  Allison Thomas 10 19:22
171  Maggie Falater 9 20:12
185  Leah Metzger 9 20:15
Leslie Eckerly 9 20:55
Danni Chitwood 9 21:37
Grace Bassett 10 21:52
Kaleen Hobbs 12 22:39
Cassie Pontius 10 23:01
DateRace Rating
08/23 Huntington North Invitational 119
08/30 DeKalb Classic
09/06 Marion Invitational 211
09/20 Flashrock Invitational (Champ) 160
09/20 Flashrock Invitational (JV)
09/27 Culver Academies Invitational (Elite) 140
09/27 Culver Academies Invitational (JV)
10/04 Norhteast Hoosier Conference 166
10/11 Northrop Sectional 154
10/18 West Noble Regional 218
10/25 New Haven Semi-State 208
11/01 State Finals 231




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 5.5 206 0.1 3.1 9.9 17.8 22.3 22.0 11.7 6.0 3.1 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.9 74 20.2 72.6 6.9 0.4
Regionals 100% 1.0 34 100.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 99.9 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Fruchey 100% 24.8 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.6 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 97.3%
Stacey Metzger 100% 31.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.8 93.5%
Megan Doty 100% 50.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 69.6%
Allison Thomas 100% 59.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 51.9%
Maggie Falater 100% 129.8 0.2%
Leah Metzger 100% 134.2 0.2%
Leslie Eckerly 100% 181.2 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Fruchey 100% 8.1 1.7 4.9 6.6 8.4 8.9 9.4 9.4 9.0 8.2 7.5 6.8 5.4 4.3 3.0 2.2 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Stacey Metzger 100% 10.5 0.5 1.9 3.0 4.2 5.5 6.4 6.8 8.6 8.8 8.3 8.5 8.2 6.7 5.7 4.5 3.9 2.6 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Megan Doty 100% 16.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.7 2.2 3.0 3.7 4.8 6.2 7.2 7.8 8.8 7.4 8.0 6.4 5.9 4.8 4.1 3.2 2.7 2.3 100.0%
Allison Thomas 100% 19.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.4 3.2 4.4 5.4 6.5 6.9 7.4 8.1 7.1 6.4 5.9 5.1 4.9 4.1 100.0%
Maggie Falater 100% 46.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 94.9%
Leah Metzger 100% 48.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 92.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Fruchey 100% 2.6 19.1 19.7 18.2 15.4 12.1 8.6 4.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Stacey Metzger 100% 4.0 7.2 11.8 14.1 16.4 16.6 14.7 9.7 5.9 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Megan Doty 100% 7.1 0.3 1.2 2.7 5.3 8.4 12.7 16.8 19.9 15.5 10.2 4.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Allison Thomas 100% 8.4 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.5 4.0 6.9 11.5 17.3 21.7 17.8 10.9 3.8 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Maggie Falater 100% 17.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.3 5.6 7.7 8.2 9.3 9.6 9.4 9.2 8.3 6.8 5.3 4.4 3.0 2.1 100.0%
Leah Metzger 100% 18.3 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.6 4.0 5.4 6.8 8.3 8.7 9.9 9.4 9.4 8.1 6.8 5.3 4.0 3.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Madison Fruchey 1.0 50.0 27.5 13.9 6.1 2.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Stacey Metzger 1.9 19.5 33.2 23.3 14.9 6.4 2.0 0.7 0.1
Megan Doty 4.2 1.3 5.8 15.9 22.2 25.9 19.1 8.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Allison Thomas 5.2 0.3 1.7 6.7 13.3 22.5 29.7 21.4 3.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Maggie Falater 10.9 0.1 1.6 10.5 12.3 13.1 13.1 11.7 11.1 8.9 6.3 4.4 2.8 1.9 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Leah Metzger 11.7 0.1 1.1 7.3 9.6 11.3 12.3 12.8 11.7 10.0 7.7 5.9 4.1 2.5 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0